hopeia
making the markets
sporting & racing analysis
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| Caulfield Markets |
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| 12/10/2022 | Caulfield | 1 | 1600m | 3yo BM 70 | e -8.5 | a -8.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ZOE'S PROMISE | 2 | ALANA KELLY | 7 | 54.5 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 6 | 19 | 999 | 14 | 1 | 19 | |||
| 02 | WATADEEL | 4 | JAMIE KAH | 1 | 57.0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 3.95 | 2 | 2.5 | 999 | 2.5 | 2 | 0.10 | |||
| 03 | REDIENER | 3 | JAMES MCDONALD | 1 | 58.0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2.64 | 1 | 2.9 | 7.5 | - | 3 | 3 | 0.20 | -7.5 | |
| 04 | POWERFUL EAGLE | 7 | LUKE NOLEN | 3 | 56.5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 999 | 13 | 4 | 1.45 | |||
| 05 | ALGENDY | 6 | DAMIAN LANE | 3 | 56.5 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 7 | 26 | 999 | 31 | 5 | 5.20 | |||
| 06 | FERRARI MAN | 1 | JORDAN CHILDS | 5 | 56.5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4.4 | 999 | 5.5 | 6 | 8.20 | |||
| 07 | FEDERATION ROCKS | 5 | DANIEL STACKHOUSE | 5 | 57.0 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 5 | 23 | 1 | - | 26 | 7 | 13.20 | -1 |
| 12/10/2022 | Caulfield | 2 | 2400m | BM 85 | e -11.5 | a -11.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | PORT PHILIP | 3 | ETHAN BROWN | 8 | 54.0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4.3 | 1 | 4 | 999 | 3.6 | 1 | 4 | |||
| 02 | KISSINGER | 5 | DAMIEN OLIVER | 3 | 55.0 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 6.4 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - | 8 | 2 | 0.10 | -3 | |
| 03 | CABOCHE | 7 | JAMES MCDONALD | 1 | 58.0 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 5.5 | 2 | 5.5 | 3.5 | - | 5 | 3 | 2.85 | -3.5 | |
| 04 | THEMOONLITEGAMBLER | 8 | DANIEL STACKHOUSE | 8 | 54.0 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 8.6 | 4 | 14 | 2.5 | - | 12 | 4 | 7.60 | -2.5 | |
| 05 | GONE WEST | 9 | DAMIAN LANE | 3 | 54.0 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 8 | 12 | 999 | 15 | 5 | 10.85 | |||
| 06 | VERIMLI | 4 | BEN MELHAM | 3 | 59.0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 15.5 | 7 | 4.2 | 999 | 4.2 | 6 | 13.35 | |||
| 07 | PORT GUILLAUME | 6 | MICHAEL DEE | 8 | 59.0 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 9 | 41 | 0.5 | - | 21 | 7 | 14.85 | -0.5 | |
| 08 | WYCLIF | 2 | JAMIE KAH | 1 | 59.0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 14.5 | 6 | 15 | 1.5 | - | 10 | 8 | 16.35 | -1.5 | |
| 09 | SWELTER MAGIC | 1 | CRAIG WILLIAMS | 3 | 54.0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 50 | 10 | 41 | 0.5 | - | 31 | 9 | 26.35 | -0.5 |
| 12/10/2022 | Caulfield | 3 | 2000m | Open Group 3 | e -4 | a -4 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | GUNSTOCK | 9 | JAMIE KAH | 1 | 54.0 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 3.75 | 1 | 3.6 | 999 | 2.5 | 1 | 3.6 | |||
| 02 | YONKERS | 3 | JAMES MCDONALD | 1 | 59.0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6.2 | 3 | 5 | 999 | 4.2 | 2 | 3.00 | |||
| 03 | AURORA'S SYMPHONY | 8 | HARRY COFFEY | 6 | 54.0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 75 | 11 | 71 | 999 | 41 | 3 | 4.50 | |||
| 04 | GLINT OF HOPE | 1 | DANIEL MOOR | 6 | 54.5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4.8 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - | 6.5 | 4 | 4.60 | -4 | |
| 05 | DADOOZDART | 7 | JYE MCNEIL | 4 | 54.0 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 65 | 10 | 51 | 999 | 26 | 5 | 7.10 | |||
| 06 | PATERNAL | 6 | CRAIG WILLIAMS | 3 | 54.0 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 13.5 | 6 | 6.5 | 999 | 7.5 | 6 | 7.85 | |||
| 07 | MILFORD | 5 | PATRICK MOLONEY | 6 | 56.5 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 38 | 8 | 13 | 999 | 11 | 7 | 8.60 | |||
| 08 | MEDIA AWARD | 2 | DAMIEN THORNTON | 11 | 54.0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 21 | 999 | 16 | 8 | 12.10 | |||
| 09 | JOHNNY GET ANGRY | 4 | LACHLAN KING | 6 | 55.0 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 150 | 12 | 126 | 999 | 71 | 9 | 32.10 |
| 12/10/2022 | Caulfield | 4 | 2000m | BM 80 | e 26 | a 26 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | WHITE MARLIN | 5 | JORDAN CHILDS | 5 | 60.0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3.85 | 2 | 4.4 | 5 | - | 5 | 1 | 6.2 | 26 | |
| 02 | KEATS | 7 | CRAIG WILLIAMS | 2 | 60.5 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 999 | 5.5 | 2 | 1.75 | |||
| 03 | DIVINE DIOSA | 10 | BLAIKE MCDOUGALL | 9 | 54.0 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 6 | 23 | 999 | 16 | 3 | 6.75 | |||
| 04 | NOBEL HEIGHTS | 8 | DAMIAN LANE | 2 | 60.0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 999 | 13 | 4 | 8.75 | |||
| 05 | POUNDING | 9 | LUKE NOLEN | 2 | 59.5 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 5.6 | 3 | 7 | 999 | 12 | 5 | 10.00 | |||
| 06 | AESOP | 1 | JAMIE KAH | 1 | 57.0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3.65 | 1 | 2.5 | 999 | 2.4 | 6 | 13.75 | |||
| 07 | CERBERUS | 2 | NEIL FARLEY | 11 | 57.0 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 48 | 7 | 26 | 999 | 16 | 7 | 17.00 | |||
| 08 | WHITE HAWK | 4 | JOHN ALLEN | 9 | 61.5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - | 11 | 126 | 999 | 51 | 8 | 29.00 | |||
| 09 | MIDAS PRINCE | 6 | DEAN YENDALL | 5 | 55.0 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 80 | 8 | 61 | 999 | 41 | 9 | 31.75 | |||
| 10 | SIR LAMORAK | 3 | ETHAN BROWN | 5 | 58.0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 150 | 10 | 26 | 999 | 19 | 10 | 41.75 |
| 12/10/2022 | Caulfield | 5 | 1400m | BM 70 | e -4.5 | a -4.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | REAL SENSATION | 10 | JAMIE MOTT | 1 | 59.0 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 9.4 | 3 | 9.5 | 999 | 9.5 | 1 | 9.5 | |||
| 02 | CORONA LAD | 7 | BLAKE SHINN | 1 | 59.0 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 7.8 | 1 | 3.5 | 999 | 3.9 | 2 | 0.10 | |||
| 03 | DROP THE MIC | 13 | LEWIS GERMAN | 13 | 59.5 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 27 | 11 | 34 | 0.5 | - | 26 | 3 | 0.20 | -0.5 | |
| 04 | OUR LONE STAR | 11 | ALANA KELLY | 13 | 60.0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 75 | 15 | 51 | 999 | 26 | 4 | 0.95 | |||
| 05 | RIOTOUS MISCHIEF | 15 | JOHN ALLEN | 8 | 59.0 | 16 | 4 | 16 | 65 | 14 | 23 | 999 | 21 | 5 | 1.25 | |||
| 06 | LA SPEZIA | 8 | JORDAN CHILDS | 5 | 56.5 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 999 | 26 | 6 | 1.35 | |||
| 07 | MADAME DU GAST | 12 | CRAIG WILLIAMS | 1 | 57.0 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 999 | 9.5 | 7 | 1.45 | |||
| 08 | KISS ME IF YOU CAN | 3 | DANIEL STACKHOUSE | 5 | 61.0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 7.8 | 1 | 11 | 2.5 | - | 9 | 8 | 1.75 | -2.5 | |
| 09 | MESSIGNADI | 9 | HARRY COFFEY | 8 | 57.0 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 13.5 | 6 | 13 | 999 | 15 | 9 | 2.50 | |||
| 10 | MINYINGA | 4 | DANIEL MOOR | 8 | 58.0 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 19 | 1.5 | - | 20 | 10 | 2.60 | -1.5 | |
| 11 | AIR DEFENCE | 2 | TEODORE NUGENT | 13 | 59.0 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 13.5 | 6 | 14 | 999 | 13 | 11 | 3.10 | |||
| 12 | JOLTING | 14 | JACK HILL | 8 | 58.5 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 32 | 12 | 26 | 999 | 18 | 12 | 3.30 | |||
| 13 | ADDRESS MELBOURNE | 1 | CARLEEN HEFEL | 13 | 59.5 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 999 | 9.5 | 13 | 4.05 | |||
| 14 | MASTER BARTHOLDI | 5 | BLAIKE MCDOUGALL | 8 | 59.0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 9.5 | 999 | 13 | 14 | 7.30 | |||
| 15 | HOLY COMMAND | 6 | DAMIEN OLIVER | 1 | 60.0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 160 | 16 | 151 | 999 | 101 | 15 | 15.30 |
| 12/10/2022 | Caulfield | 6 | 1400m | BM 85 | e -3.5 | a -3.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | ASCENSION | 7 | JOHN ALLEN | 12 | 58.5 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 100 | 14 | 81 | 999 | 41 | 1 | 81 | |||
| 02 | ELUDING | 10 | CHAD SCHOFIELD | 8 | 56.0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 32 | 10 | 41 | 0.5 | - | 19 | 2 | 0.50 | -0.5 | |
| 03 | MUNHAMEK | 13 | BLAKE SHINN | 2 | 58.5 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 4.8 | 999 | 2.6 | 3 | 1.25 | |||
| 04 | PASCERO | 5 | DAMIAN LANE | 2 | 58.5 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 9.6 | 3 | 8.5 | 999 | 5 | 4 | 2.25 | |||
| 05 | SO RISQUE | 4 | JYE MCNEIL | 8 | 56.5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 999 | 9 | 5 | 3.25 | |||
| 06 | PAPERBOY | 11 | MICHAEL DEE | 8 | 58.0 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 14.5 | 7 | 12 | 999 | 13 | 6 | 3.75 | |||
| 07 | KOOLED | 2 | ALANA KELLY | 14 | 56.0 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 2 | - | 13 | 7 | 4.75 | -2 | |
| 08 | BEEHUNTER | 8 | LUKE NOLEN | 2 | 57.5 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 40 | 12 | 34 | 999 | 26 | 8 | 7.75 | |||
| 09 | HE'S THE REAL DEEL | 9 | BRIAN HIGGINS | 16 | 57.0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 36 | 11 | 18 | 999 | 10 | 9 | 8.25 | |||
| 10 | GLASSEY MISS | 12 | HARRY COFFEY | 12 | 57.5 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 65 | 13 | 51 | 999 | 51 | 10 | 8.45 | |||
| 11 | TOBILICIOUS | 6 | JAMIE MOTT | 2 | 62.0 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 160 | 15 | 126 | 999 | 51 | 11 | 9.20 | |||
| 12 | NOT TO BE MIST | 3 | RHYS MCLEOD | 15 | 63.0 | 16 | 4 | 10 | - | 16 | 81 | 999 | 41 | 12 | 11.70 | |||
| 13 | EXTREME FLIGHT | 1 | MARK ZAHRA | 2 | 57.0 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 9 | 19 | 1 | - | 19 | 13 | 12.70 | -1 |
| 12/10/2022 | Caulfield | 7 | 1200m | 3yo Group 3 | e 2.3 | a 2.3 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | GRAND IMPACT | 7 | BEN MELHAM | 3 | 57.0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8.8 | 4 | 7 | 2.5 | - | 2.92 | 1 | 7 | 5.3 | |
| 02 | SHALAILED | 3 | JYE MCNEIL | 10 | 57.0 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 6 | 34 | 999 | 15.5 | 2 | 1.75 | |||
| 03 | LOFTY STRIKE | 5 | JAMIE MOTT | 3 | 57.0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 6.6 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - | 4.5 | 3 | 2.75 | -3 | |
| 04 | EL PADRINO | 6 | ETHAN BROWN | 10 | 57.0 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 60 | 10 | 26 | 999 | 12.5 | 4 | 6.50 | |||
| 05 | LASCARS | 9 | BLAKE SHINN | 3 | 57.0 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 999 | 12.5 | 5 | 6.60 | |||
| 06 | BEWS | 2 | DAMIAN LANE | 3 | 57.0 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 60 | 10 | 26 | 999 | 15.5 | 6 | 6.70 | |||
| 07 | DAUMIER | 4 | MARK ZAHRA | 3 | 57.0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 25 | 7 | 11 | 999 | 5.1 | 7 | 7.45 | |||
| 08 | SHIPSTERN | 8 | CRAIG WILLIAMS | 3 | 57.0 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 50 | 9 | 81 | 999 | 25 | 8 | 8.70 | |||
| 09 | SQUAD | 1 | TIM CLARK | 3 | 57.0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 75 | 12 | 126 | 999 | 36 | 9 | 9.95 |
| 12/10/2022 | Caulfield | 8 | 1600m | 3yo Fillies Group 1 | e -4.5 | a -4.5 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | MADAME POMMERY | 4 | JAMES MCDONALD | 1 | 56.0 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 7.5 | 999 | 9.5 | 1 | 9.5 | |||
| 02 | REVOLUTIONARY MISS | 9 | MARK ZAHRA | 3 | 56.0 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 9 | 23 | 999 | 21 | 2 | 1.50 | |||
| 03 | SHE'S LICKETYSPLIT | 5 | DAMIAN LANE | 3 | 56.0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4.3 | 2 | 4.2 | 4.5 | - | 4.2 | 3 | 1.80 | -4.5 | |
| 04 | BOOGIE DANCER | 6 | LUKE NOLEN | 3 | 56.0 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 4.1 | 1 | 3.9 | 999 | 3.6 | 4 | 2.10 | |||
| 05 | NORTH STAR LASS | 2 | TIM CLARK | 3 | 56.0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 4.6 | 3 | 4.6 | 999 | 4.2 | 5 | 4.10 | |||
| 06 | JENNY JEROME | 8 | HARRY COFFEY | 9 | 56.0 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 8 | 26 | 999 | 17 | 6 | 4.20 | |||
| 07 | RUSSIAN CONQUEST | 1 | JAMIE KAH | 1 | 56.0 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 7 | 8.5 | 999 | 13 | 7 | 8.70 | |||
| 08 | WALTZ ON BY | 3 | CRAIG WILLIAMS | 3 | 56.0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 999 | 20 | 8 | 13.45 | |||
| 09 | TAJNEED | 7 | DAMIEN OLIVER | 3 | 56.0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12.5 | 4 | 11 | 999 | 12 | 9 | 17.20 |
| 12/10/2022 | Caulfield | 9 | 1600m | Mares Group 3 | e -6 | a -6 |
| name | br | rider | jr | wt | pa | cl | ru | div | rk | ep | bet | req | sp | fp | mgn | bwd | prf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | SIRILEO MISS | 4 | BEN MELHAM | 3 | 58.0 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 18 | 999 | 19 | 1 | 19 | |||
| 02 | BELLE PLAISIR | 1 | MARK ZAHRA | 3 | 58.0 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 999 | 7.5 | 2 | 1.25 | |||
| 03 | GLORY BOUND | 6 | LUKE NOLEN | 3 | 56.0 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 25 | 9 | 23 | 1 | - | 11 | 3 | 1.45 | -1 | |
| 04 | FOXY FRIDA | 5 | DAMIEN OLIVER | 3 | 57.0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4.4 | 2 | 5.5 | 4.5 | - | 3.6 | 4 | 1.55 | -4.5 | |
| 05 | DYNASTIES | 3 | BLAKE SHINN | 3 | 57.0 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 44 | 11 | 12 | 999 | 7.5 | 5 | 1.95 | |||
| 06 | CHAILLOT | 10 | DANIEL MOOR | 13 | 57.0 | 13 | 1 | 16 | 17 | 5 | 17 | 999 | 14 | 6 | 2.70 | |||
| 07 | DAISIES | 9 | DAMIAN LANE | 3 | 59.0 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 10.5 | 3 | 9.5 | 999 | 6.5 | 7 | 2.80 | |||
| 08 | CUBAN LINK | 11 | CRAIG WILLIAMS | 3 | 56.0 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 70 | 14 | 41 | 999 | 16 | 8 | 3.55 | |||
| 09 | ELUSIVE EXPRESS | 8 | JAMIE KAH | 1 | 59.0 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 13.5 | 4 | 6.5 | 999 | 8.5 | 9 | 3.95 | |||
| 10 | ADELE AMOUR | 2 | ALANA KELLY | 15 | 56.0 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 130 | 15 | 81 | 999 | 26 | 10 | 4.95 | |||
| 11 | OCEAN MISS | 7 | JAMIE MOTT | 3 | 56.0 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 13 | 71 | 0.5 | - | 18 | 11 | 5.95 | -0.5 |
| Legend: br=barrier, jr=jockey rank, wt=weight, pa=early speed rank, cl=closing speed rank, ru=run in transit rank, div=our assessed dividend, rk=our rank, ep=morning book price, sp=starting price, fp=finishing position, mgn=beaten margin, bwd=best/taken price if winner, prf=profit |